The global nuclear order is increasingly defined by regional contestations, necessitating comprehensive diplomatic strategies that address global and local dimensions of nuclear risk.
- China's nuclear modernisation, driven by its broader geopolitical ambitions, influences India''s strategic calculus. India, perceiving a dual threat from both China and Pakistan, has pursued a credible minimum deterrent strategy, investing in a triad of nuclear delivery systems and advanced missile defence capabilities. This has spurred a corresponding response from Pakistan, which has developed a full spectrum deterrence posture, encompassing tactical nuclear weapons to counter India''s conventional military superiority.
- Russia's strategic doctrine underscores the employment of nuclear weapons as a deterrent against NATO''s military presence and potential encroachments. This posture encompasses the deployment of tactical nuclear weapons in Europe and the modernisation of its strategic nuclear forces, reflecting a broader effort to sustain regional dominance and strategic parity with the US.
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- The Middle Eastern nuclear power struggle is primarily between Israel and Iran, profoundly influencing regional stability. Israel''s policy of “nuclear opacity”, serves as a strategic deterrent in an otherwise hostile neighbourhood.
- North Korea''s nuclear ambitions have been a focal point of regional instability in East Asia. The threat of a nuclear-armed North Korea has prompted strong geopolitical contestations primarily from the US, Japan, and South Korea. These nations have employed a mix of diplomatic negotiations, economic sanctions, and military deterrence to curb Pyongyang''s nuclear advancements.
Acknowledging this intricate interplay between regional conflicts and the overarching nuclear framework is paramount for devising a comprehensive strategy that adeptly manages and stabilises the evolving nuclear landscape.
