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Internationalization of rupee has risks but they are inevitable. Comment
Internationalisation of rupee means adopting full capital account convertibility. Capital account tracks movement of capital between two countries via investments and loans. A fully convertible capital account means that there is no restriction on the amount of rupees you can convert into foreign currency to buy any asset overseas. Similarly, there are no restraints on overseas investors to bring in dollars or acquire assets in India. While greater internationalisation of the rupee can lower transaction costs of cross-border trade and investment operations by mitigating exchange rate risk, that it can also complicate the conduct of monetary policy.
Merits of the Internationalization of Rupee
- Lowering of Transaction Costs:
- The internationalization of the Rupee canreduce the need for currency conversion, thereby lowering transaction costs for businesses and individuals conducting international trade.
- This can make it more attractive for foreign investors to do business in Indiaand make India''s exports more competitive in global markets.
- Greater Degree of Price Transparency:
- When the Rupee is widely used in international transactions, it canlead to a greater degree of price transparency. This can enable Indian businesses to better understand global market conditions and adjust their pricing strategies accordingly.
- Quick Settlement Time:
- The internationalization of the Rupee can facilitate faster and more efficient settlement timesfor international transactions. This can benefit Indian businesses by reducing the time and costs associated with cross-border payments.
- Promoting International Trade:
- An internationalized Rupee can promote international trade by making it easier and cheaper for Indian businesses to transact with their global counterparts.This can lead to increased exports and economic growth for the country.
- Reduction in Hedging Expenses:
- As the Rupee becomes more widely accepted and used in international transactions, the need for hedging against currency fluctuations may reduce.This can lead to cost savings for businesses and investors.
- Reduced Cost of Holding Foreign Reserve by the RBI:
- An internationalized Rupee can reduce thecost of holding foreign reserve by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). When the Rupee is widely used and accepted in international transactions, the RBI may not need to hold as much foreign currency to conduct its operations, thereby reducing costs.
Challenges with the Internationalization of Rupee
- Capital Controls:
- India still has capital controls in place that limit the ability of foreigners to investand trade in Indian markets. These restrictions make it difficult for the INR to be used widely as an international currency.
- Exchange Rate Volatility:
- The INR has ahistory of volatility, which makes it unattractive for use as an international currency. Currency exchange rate stability is a key requirement for a currency to be used as a global reserve currency.
- Financial Market Development:
- The development of deep and liquid financial markets is a prerequisite for the Internationalization of a currency.The Indian financial market is still in the process of developing, and it needs to become more integrated with global financial markets.
- Regulatory Environment:
- The regulatory environment in Indianeeds to be conducive to the use of the INR as an international currency. This requires the government to implement policies that support the growth of the financial sector, improve market transparency and reduce red tape.
- Lack of Internationalization Efforts:
- Indianeeds to take more active steps to promote the use of the INR as an international currency. This includes establishing offshore INR trading centers, entering into currency swap agreements with other countries, and promoting the use of the INR in trade settlements.
- Low Inflation:
- Inflationrate is an important consideration when it comes to the Internationalization of a currency. The Reserve Bank of India has been successful in keeping inflation under control, but low inflation rates can make a currency less attractive to foreign investors.
- Geopolitical Factors:
- Geopolitical factors such as political instability, wars, and sanctions can have a significant impact on the Internationalization of a currency.India needs to have stable relations with other countries and avoid getting caught in geopolitical conflicts that could impact the use of the INR as an international currency.
Looking forward
- Encourage Cross-Border Trade in Indian Rupee:
- Government shouldencourage cross-border trade with other countries, especially neighboring countries like Nepal, Bhutan, and Bangladesh, in Indian Rupee instead of other currencies.
- This willincrease the demand for the Indian Rupee in these countries, thereby promoting its Internationalization.
- Promote Financial Market Development:
- India could promote the development of its financial markets,especially the bond market, to attract foreign investors.
- This will increase the demand for Indian Rupee-denominated bondsand promote its use in international transactions.
- Liberalize Capital Account Transactions:
- Government should further liberalize capital account transactions to attract foreign investment,which will increase the demand for the Indian Rupee in international transactions.
- Expand the Use of the Indian Rupee in International Transactions:
- Government shouldencourage its trading partners to use the Indian Rupee in international transactions by signing bilateral currency swap agreements. It could also explore the possibility of creating an Indian Rupee-based trading bloc with its neighboring countries.
- Strengthen the Indian Economy:
- A strong and stable Indian economy will increase the confidence of foreign investors in the Indian Rupee and promote its Internationalization.