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June 23, 2025 Current Affairs
Mains Analysis
U.S. Joins Israel in Iran Offensive: Operation Midnight Hammer Begins The United States has launched Operation Midnight Hammer, deploying B-2 Spirit stealth bombers equipped with Massive Ordnance Penetrators (MOPs) in a high-precision assault on Iran’s nuclear facilities—Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan—causing what officials claim is extensive damage to Iran’s nuclear capabilities.
Major Highlights from U.S. Strikes on Iranian Nuclear Facilities
1. U.S.-Israel Military Alliance Deepens: The U.S. has shifted from a support role to direct military action in support of Israel’s campaign against Iran. Previously offering intelligence and defense aid, Washington now demonstrates firm commitment with active involvement, reinforcing Israeli claims about Iran’s nuclear threat. 2. Trump’s Foreign Policy Reversal: Despite campaigning against overseas military entanglements, President Trump has authorized direct strikes on Iran. This move starkly contrasts his earlier promises, including quick resolution of the Ukraine conflict and avoiding Middle East wars. 3. Strategic Boost for Israel: The U.S. bombing of the fortified Fordow site—something Israel was previously unable to achieve—marks a significant strategic gain for Israel. It represents a critical blow to Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and strengthens Israel’s position against Tehran more than at any point since the 1979 Revolution. 4. Iran’s Strategic Setback: Iran faces a major military and symbolic blow. Ongoing Israeli attacks have resulted in over 600 deaths in a week, and weakened Iran-backed forces such as Hezbollah and Hamas. The Islamic Republic now faces its most vulnerable position in over four decades, with the ‘Axis of Resistance’ suffering severe erosion. 5. Legal and Ethical Concerns Resurface: Tehran has denounced the U.S. action as a breach of its sovereignty and international law. Critics draw comparisons to the 2003 Iraq invasion, where false claims of WMDs undermined U.S. credibility. The legitimacy of targeting a non-nuclear state with high-tech weapons is now under global scrutiny. 6. Rising Instability in the Middle East: Iran’s potential retaliation—via missiles or rocket attacks in the Gulf and Red Sea—threatens vital maritime routes, oil markets, and regional stability. A partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday signaled a dangerous escalation. 7. Broader Conflict Looms: If Iran strikes back at U.S. forces or bases, the conflict risks spilling over into a regional war involving Gulf nations such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oman, and Qatar. 8. India Faces Economic and Security Risks: India, with strong economic and diplomatic ties to the region and over 8 million nationals living there, faces direct consequences. Disruption in oil supply chains could spike inflation, threaten energy security, and put Indian lives at risk. 9. Threat to India’s Trade and Infrastructure Initiatives: The conflict endangers the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEEC)—a major trade and infrastructure project. Continued instability could derail India’s long-term strategic goals in the region. 10. First Use of Massive Ordnance Penetrator in Combat: In a significant military milestone, the U.S. deployed the GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator for the first time in combat. This bunker-busting bomb, capable of destroying deeply fortified structures, was delivered by B-2 Spirit stealth bombers to strike the heavily protected Fordow facility.
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Iran Threatens to Shut Strait of Hormuz: Global Energy Supply Under Pressure In response to recent U.S. airstrikes on its military assets, Iran’s Parliament has greenlit a proposal to close the Strait of Hormuz, pending final approval from the Supreme National Security Council. If enacted, this move could significantly disrupt global oil flows and escalate tensions in the region.
Why the Strait of Hormuz Matters The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow yet vital maritime corridor linking the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and, ultimately, the Arabian Sea. It''s a critical route for major oil-exporting nations such as Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. At its slimmest, the strait spans just 33 kilometers, with each direction confined to a 3 km-wide shipping lane, making it particularly vulnerable to disruptions or maritime threats. In 2024–25, this strait carried over 25% of global seaborne oil and nearly 20% of total global oil and petroleum consumption. It also accounted for 20% of the world’s liquefied natural gas (LNG) trade, primarily from Qatar.
Key Vulnerabilities and Constraints
Despite issuing such threats in the past, Iran has never followed through—even during periods of intense conflict. Analysts suggest an actual closure would hurt Iran’s own economy, especially its crucial oil exports to China, and jeopardize improving ties with Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Blocking the strait would not only hurt Iran’s trade but also provoke a likely military reaction, particularly from the U.S. Navy’s Fifth Fleet, stationed in the region.
How This Affects India
· India, the world’s third-largest consumer of crude oil, imports more than 85% of its oil and around 50% of its natural gas. · In May 2025, nearly 47% of India’s crude imports passed through the Strait of Hormuz, making it a strategic energy artery. Supplies from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, and Oman are especially at risk.
1. Primary Threat: Price Shock, Not Supply Disruption: While India has diversified its suppliers—sourcing oil from Russia, the U.S., Africa, and Latin America—a Hormuz blockade would unsettle global supply chains. Even if actual availability remains steady, global oil and gas prices would surge, affecting: · India’s trade balance · Foreign exchange reserves · The rupee’s value · Domestic inflation levels If China faces supply cuts from Iran, it may outbid other buyers for oil from alternate suppliers, intensifying competition and further inflating prices. This would strain India’s refining margins, as per S&P Global, and raise freight rates and insurance costs. Some analysts predict oil prices could temporarily spike to USD 80 per barrel amid escalating Middle East tensions.
2. India’s Other Energy Routes Remain Operational · Russian oil reaches India through the Suez Canal, around the Cape of Good Hope, or via Pacific routes—bypassing Hormuz entirely. · LNG imports from Qatar and other nations like Australia, Russia, and the U.S. remain largely unaffected.
India’s Mitigation Strategy: Diversify and Stabilize To manage potential fallout, India could:
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India Welcomes Foreign Universities: A New Era in Higher Education
Spearheaded by the University Grants Commission (UGC) under the 2023 regulations and aligned with the goals of the National Education Policy (NEP) 2020, this initiative aims to broaden academic opportunities and elevate educational standards. Planned campuses in locations like GIFT City (Gujarat) and Navi Mumbai support India’s vision to emerge as a global hub for higher education.
Why Foreign Universities Are Expanding into India:
1. Falling Enrolments in Developed Nations: Post-WWII, higher education systems in Western countries grew rapidly. But today, declining birth rates have led to stagnant or shrinking enrolment numbers. To sustain their finances and infrastructure, universities have become increasingly reliant on international students: o 22% of students in the UK are international o 24% in Australia o 30% in Canada o 6% in the U.S. overall, but up to 27% in top-tier schools 2. Tougher Immigration Policies: Governments in countries like the UK, Canada, and Australia have recently imposed tighter visa rules and caps on foreign admissions, cutting into university revenues and prompting layoffs and cost reductions. In this context, expanding operations directly into India offers institutions a more stable and diversified source of international engagement.
India: A Promising Market for Global Education 1. A Vast and Growing Student Base: India''s higher education system serves over 40 million students, yet the gross enrolment ratio remains below 30%. This gap, combined with a rising middle class and youth-driven aspirations, creates fertile ground for foreign university expansion.
2. Inconsistent Quality Across Institutions: Despite having globally respected institutes like the IITs and IIMs, India’s university system overall suffers from inconsistent quality. Most institutions struggle with poor infrastructure and limited research capacity. Foreign campuses could help bridge this gap by delivering globally-aligned academics and teaching methods.
3. Global Degrees, Locally Accessible: Many Indian students dream of studying abroad for academic quality and better career prospects. Yet financial, personal, or visa-related constraints keep many from leaving. Local campuses of foreign universities provide a compelling alternative—international degrees without the relocation.
Barriers and Challenges 1. Cost and Accessibility: Although the potential student base is large, affordability remains a major concern. Even with local campuses, the cost of a foreign education may exceed what most Indian families can afford. Making programs cost-effective and offering scholarships will be crucial. 2. Mixed Track Record Globally: Foreign university branches in countries like China, Malaysia, and Central Asia have had varied outcomes. While some thrived, others struggled due to regulatory, financial, or cultural mismatches. India’s complex policy environment poses similar challenges. 3. Modest Initial Impact: Despite the excitement, the number of campuses and student enrolment is expected to be limited in the early years. The model’s sustainability will depend on initial student response and long-term adaptability.
Policy and Governance Landscape In 2023, the UGC introduced the Foreign Higher Educational Institutions (FHEI) Regulations, establishing a framework for foreign universities to set up in India. Key provisions include:
This marks a significant liberalization of India’s higher education system, consistent with the broader reforms envisioned under NEP 2020.
Looking Ahead: What’s at Stake If executed effectively, the entry of foreign universities could:
However, success hinges on several factors:
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Reshaping West Asia’s Geopolitics
West Asia is undergoing a profound geopolitical transformation, driven by escalating military tensions, evolving global energy dynamics, and the realignment of regional and global alliances. The region''s traditional power structures are shifting, with implications that stretch from energy markets to international diplomacy.
Legacy Geopolitics: The Old Order
The Emerging Geopolitical Landscape
Drivers of the New Geopolitics
Implications for India Opportunities
Risks and Challenges
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Reforming India’s Food and Fertiliser Subsidies: A Strategic Imperative
As India records historic lows in extreme poverty—now down to 5.3%—the government continues to spend heavily on food and fertiliser subsidies. With food subsidy allocations at ₹2.03 lakh crore and fertiliser subsidies at ₹1.56 lakh crore for FY 2025–26 (Ashok Gulati, Indian Express), there’s an urgent need to revisit subsidy mechanisms to ensure fiscal sustainability, better targeting, and nutritional adequacy.
Understanding Subsidies Subsidies are financial incentives provided by the government to reduce the cost of essential goods or services, with the aim of promoting social welfare or correcting market failures.
Why Reform Is Needed 1. Poverty Has Sharply Declined: Extreme poverty has fallen from 27.1% in 2011 to 5.3% in 2022, yet 800 million people still receive subsidised or free food under the Public Distribution System (PDS). This disconnect creates inefficiency and overextension of benefits. 2. Persistent Leakages Despite Digitisation: Despite digitisation (~84% Aadhaar-seeded ration cards), leakages remain due to ghost beneficiaries and duplications, as seen in recent ration card cancellations in Jharkhand. 3. Nutritional Inadequacy: The current system over-emphasises cereals like rice and wheat, while protein- and micronutrient-rich foods (pulses, dairy, eggs) are largely absent—undermining India’s battle against hidden hunger. 4. Fertiliser Misuse: Heavy subsidy on urea has led to its overuse, while phosphatic and potassic fertilisers remain underutilised, degrading soil health and crop productivity. 5. Mounting Fiscal Burden: Large subsidies crowd out much-needed capital investment in agriculture—like irrigation, storage, rural roads, and research—affecting long-term growth and resilience.
Reform Measures Already Taken Food Subsidy Sector
Fertiliser Sector
Reform Recommendations: The Way Forward 1. Introduce Food Coupons or Digital Wallets: Target the poorest 15% of households with digital food vouchers (~₹700/month/family) to purchase diverse and nutritious foods such as pulses, dairy, and eggs, improving dietary outcomes. 2. Improve Targeting Through Gradation: Use integrated datasets from Aadhaar, PM-KISAN, and SECC to calibrate subsidy levels according to income or landholding categories. 3. Fertiliser Coupons and Market Deregulation: Move towards fertiliser coupons for farmers while deregulating fertiliser prices to incentivise balanced and eco-friendly use. 4. Promote Bio-Fertilisers and Natural Farming: Provide financial and technical incentives for bio-fertilisers, composting, and zero-budget natural farming (ZBNF) to reduce dependency on chemical inputs. 5. Strengthen Monitoring and Evaluation: Triangulate land records, subsidy data, and PM-KISAN enrolment to reduce inclusion and exclusion errors and enhance transparency. 6. Manage Political Transition Carefully: As seen in previous farmer protests, subsidy reforms must be accompanied by trust-building, transparent communication, and gradual phasing to avoid backlash.
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Political Financing in India: Rising Costs, Declining Transparency Recent Context:
Key Issues:
Suggested Reforms:
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Prelims Bytes
Sariska Tiger Reserve: Boundary Rationalisation Plan
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Himalayan Brown Bear Sighting in Uttarakhand
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Kounis Syndrome: Rare Allergy-Induced Heart Condition
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“Gwada Negative”: Discovery of a New Blood Group
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INS Tamal: India’s Latest Stealth Multi-role Frigate Commissioning Date:
Overview:
Symbolism & Identity:
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Tomahawk Cruise Missile: US Precision Strike Weapon Background:
Key Features:
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Chios Island (Greece)
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INS Nilgiri
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Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) Context: To enhance safety standards in India''s rapidly growing aviation sector, the DGCA has initiated a Comprehensive Special Audit of the aviation ecosystem. Overview:
Core Objectives: Key Responsibilities:
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Insect-Based Livestock Feed Context: Indian researchers and ICAR institutes are advancing insect-based feed to cut environmental impact and combat antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in animal farming. What It Is: Developed By: How It Works:
Key Benefits:
Why It Matters:
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Manosphere What is the Manosphere?
Reasons for the Rise of the Manosphere
Impact of the Manosphere
Global Efforts to Counter the Manosphere
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Estimates Committee of Parliament Context: The Speaker of Lok Sabha inaugurated a national conference to celebrate 75 years of the Estimates Committee, held in Mumbai. A key financial watchdog in Lok Sabha, the Estimates Committee scrutinizes government expenditure to ensure optimal use of public funds and recommend efficiency improvements. Key Facts:
Core Functions:
How It Works:
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Nano Fertilizers Recent Development:
About Nano Fertilizers:
Benefits:
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Digital Markets Act (DMA) – EU Recent Context:
About the DMA (2022):
Key Objectives:
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